Spotty New Year’s Snow, Bigger Event Late Next Week?

New model runs are coming in as we speak, and they show a similar scenario for late New Year’s Eve/New Year’s Day. Next week still looks like the coldest in several years, and there is low confidence in a moderate-to-major snowstorm on Friday, with model solutions agreeing on bringing a system into the area while […]

Continue Reading

You may also like

Yet Another Pattern Change Update

I must admit, it’s a little difficult coming up with varying titles for your blogs when you are simply blogging about the same thing. It’s not as difficult as forecasting snow in Seattle, but it’s definitely up there. Models are still adamant with a major pattern change beginning Saturday evening as a deep upper-level-low drops […]

Continue Reading

You may also like

Snow Update

Thursday, January 19, 5:20 P.M. Hi everybody, this is just a quick update… the snow has stuck around longer than forecast, and freezing rain has mainly impacted areas south of Seattle, sparing the Seattle area itself. The snow has been going on all day here, and I’d say UW got about 2 inches out of […]

Continue Reading

You may also like

Ice Storm Warning

Thursday, January 19, 2012 11:06 A.M. As if snow wasn’t bad enough… After the major snowstorm yesterday, another storm was forecast, but precipitation was only supposed to make it to Olympia. The models turned out being wrong with this storm, and precipitation is located all the way to the eastern entrance to the Strait of […]

Continue Reading

You may also like

Post Your Snow Totals!!!

Wednesday, January 18, 2012 9:50 A.M. Hello everybody! It snowed last night and most places in Washington are still seeing snow right now! The models this morning actually came more in line with what I was predicting last night and are now predicting more snow for the Puget Sound lowlands. A couple more inches will […]

Continue Reading

You may also like

Models Pessimistic, Charlie Optimistic

Tuesday, January 17, 2012 10:05 P.M. So, the latest model runs have come in, and they are moving the storm even further south. For snow lovers who live in Seattle, this is bad news. However, I’ve been watching the radar, and I believe that we will see more snow than is currently forecast by the […]

Continue Reading

You may also like

Small Changes, Big Effects

Tuesday, January 17, 2012 11:39 A.M.  Valid 04:00 pm PST Wed, 18 Jan 2012 – 36hr Fcst – UW 4km 12z WRF-GFS 24-hour snowfall As I was looking over the models and the spread in forecasts being made by different people and organizations, I was thinking about some changes that should be implemented in UWs […]

Continue Reading

You may also like

I’m Losing Sleep…

Monday, January 16, 2012 1:03 P.M. I’ve tried to be as objective as possible with these forecasts, because while Seattle freaks out over the “s” word, it needs to be made clear to the public that there are drastically different types of snow events in Washington and not all of them are serious. Now, it […]

Continue Reading

You may also like

The Spiel on Snow After the Spiel on Snow

Sunday, January 15, 2012 9:47 P.M. I gave a schpeal on snow this morning, and now it’s time I give another one. Many places around Seattle saw significant accumulations today while other places saw very little snow. My brother reports that my house down by Lake Washington between the floating bridges got 4 inches today, but […]

Continue Reading

You may also like

The Spiel on Snow

Sunday, January 15, 2011 10:02 A.M. I-5 by Northgate, Washington on Sunday morning – KOMO News First off, I’d like to apologize for not posting a blog update yesterday. I was doing tons of math homework and review, because after jumping into Calculus 125 at the University of Washington, I’ve discovered that I have a […]

Continue Reading

You may also like