Monday, October 10, 2011 9:34 A.M. Don’t you just love these National Weather Service graphics? It’s hard to find one single graphic that has so many explanations and a model picture, but the NWS issues them when there is some sort of significant weather occurring. Pretty awesome!!! Over the next few days, we will get […]
Mountain Snowfall Forecast Gaining More Credibility
Friday, October 7, 2011 11:15 A.M. Looking at the WRF-GFS models from the UW this morning, I have some good news for winter sports and water supply enthusiasts everywhere! The forecast for significant snowfall in the mountains is gaining more credibility. It isn’t a slam dunk, but it definitely is looking more likely after the […]
First Significant Mountain Snowfall?
Thursday, October 6, 2011 11:30 P.M. Hi everybody, it’s late but I thought I’d give a quick update. It is getting to be that time of year again, and the NWS has recently ascribed a “Special Weather Statement” to the Olympic and Cascade mountains. One of the models, the ECMWF, is showing a particularly strong […]
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“Unsettled” Weather
Wednesday, October 5, 2011 12:12 P.M. I was looking through the UW 12z extended WRF-GFS, and in one of the model frames, I saw an “unsettled” pattern. Meteorologists always talk about unsettled weather. But what does unsettled weather really mean? “Unsettled” weather does NOT refer to nice weather. Most of you knew that, but I […]
Cool Coastal Radar Picture!
Tuesday, October 4, 2011 2:40 P.M. Forecasting-wise, there ain’t much to talk about. The possible windstorm has gone completely out the window, and although we will see some rain overnight, it won’t be too significant. After that, we will have a brief drying trend with seasonable temperatures before we see some rain again over the […]
La Nina Update
Monday, October 3, 2011 12:28 P.M. I saw an article the La Nina episode we are currently seeing in the Seattle times today, so I thought I’d just give an update on the current La Nina situation. The La Nina has strengthened slightly, and although it won’t become as strong as last year’s, all indications […]
More Resolution Info, and a “Special Weather Statement”
Saturday, October 1, 20113:51 P.M. I learned a little bit about resolution today from my friend Greg Carstens, who is the coordinator of the Pierce County CoCoRaHS (Community Collaborative Rain, Hail, and Snow) network. When the UW models say “36 km resolution,” it refers to the detail of the existing hi-definition satellite from 36 km above the surface. […]
University of Washington Models, and Stormy Early Next Week?
Friday, September 30, 2011 6:06 P.M. Now that I am an official UW student, I figure I might as well advertise the super-ultra-awesome mesoscale modes at the University of Washington Department of Atmospheric Sciences Website. There are two main models that the University of Washington runs. These are the NAM (North American Mesoscale) and GFS […]
Similar Forecast, and Variations in Temperature and Precipitation
Thursday, September 29, 2011 9:47 P.M. There isn’t much to talk about weatherwise… the models are still forecasting a warm day today with highs in the low to mid 70s and mostly sunny skies, with nice conditions Friday as well. We will see a weak system blow on through on Saturday, with cooler conditions Sunday. […]
Nice for now, but Rain is on the way
Wednesday, September 28, 2011 5:09 P.M. Today was my first day of college, and also my first day of Atmospheric Sciences 101. That’s right, the legendary Clifford Mass taught me about meteorology. I learned some cool things, like what a Stevenson Screen is. If you want to find out what one is, you should take […]