It’s Gonna Get Bad, but Where and How Stormy?

October 19, 2010 5:24 P.M. Well, the models have been all over the place over the past few runs with what they are showing, and I know exactly why. First, the jet stream is very strong, and although models are good at picking up this pattern, they have a hard time pinning down what storms […]

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Pacific Storm Train Update

October 18, 2010 4:04 P.M. So, that strong surface low that looked like it was going to plow right into Western Washington has gone away, but the models are still showing an active pattern with a lot of rain possible. Here are some shots from this morning’s MM5-GFS run (12 UTC cycle). You can see […]

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Pacific Storm Train Ramping Up?

October 17, 2010 Hey everybody, thanks for continuing to read my blog, it means a lot. I know I’ve not been writing for a while, that generally means I just have a bunch of homework to do, as was the case this past week. I still have a ton of homework to do, but I […]

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What is El Nino Southern Oscillation? (ENSO)

El Nino and La Nina are both part of the El Nino Southern Oscilliation (ENSO) pattern in the eastern tropical Pacific ocean. This oscillation, or switching, refers to the temperature of the water in that region. In a La Nina phase, the water temperatures are cooler than normal, and in an El Nino phase, the […]

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August 2009

August 27, 2009 1:34 P.M. So, today I’ll talk about our early autumn storms and our very tricky extended forecast. First of all, as most of you know, the tropics are very active in the months of august and september, since the warm water temperatures allow hurricanes and to develop. In October, when the northern […]

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July 2009

July 30, 2009 4:03 P.M. Today went as expected; highs were again near 100 or above near the foothills, but temperatures were in the 60s at the coast due to a strong onshore flow. For the rest of us in between, highs topped out at “only” the mid 90s. There aren’t many situations where you […]

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June 2009

June 30, 2009 9:35 P.M. Nothing new to talk about today. Tomorrow, I’ll talk about pyrocumulus clouds. Without looking up the term, post what you think they are on the wall. I’ll see how many people read this. 🙂 June 30, 2009 6:36 P.M. So I actually wasn’t able to talk to professor Mass today, […]

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February – May 2009 (Sporadic Forecasts)

May 12, 2009 9:18 PM For some reason, the atmosphere failed to really destabilize, and the expected thundershowers failed to flare up. Tomorrow, in the plains, there will be a huge outbreak of severe weather. I suggest you read about it in the blogs on accuweather.com. May 11, 2009 6:38 PM Just like the passage […]

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January 2009

January 25, 2009 3:36 P.M. There was a little snow this morning and right now, but it isn’t really amounting to much. It will continue a little longer and taper off this evening. Again, no accumulations are expected outside of a half inch on grassy areas on the highest hills. Of greater interest to most […]

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October 2008

Today was cloudier than expected due to moisture streaming over the top of our ridge of high pressure. It was still dry though. A semi-zonal flow will keep things moist at times for the week ahead with some sunny periods in between. Forecast: Monday: 56 45 showers Tuesday: 56 43 partly cloudy Wednesday: 54 41 […]

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