Wednesday, April 22, 2015 10:14 am Last year, climatologists were warning us that we could have one of the biggest El Niños in history, perhaps one even rivaling the legendary El Niño of 1997-1998. Those forecasts never verified, but you wouldn’t know that by our weather this past winter. El Niño winters are generally warmer and […]
Is El Nino Making A Comeback?
Friday, October 10, 2014 5:08 pm After a return to neutral conditions over the summer, we will likely see weak El Nino conditions for the 2014-2015 winter. At least that’s my prediction. And I will tell you why. There’s a wonderful, wonderful website hosted by the National Weather Service’s Climate Prediction Center that you can […]
SST Anomalies vs. Psychological Fortitude
Thursday, August 22, 2013 12:19 p.m. People always want to know what the upcoming late autumn and winter weather will be like. Of course, it’s impossible to predict individual storms so far out in advance (but that doesn’t make the Old Farmer’s Almanac any less entertaining), but it is certainly possible to make some general […]
La Nada?
Monday, October 8, 2012 11:03 A.M. Most people know what El Nino is, and most people also know what La Nina is. But if you throw around the highly scientific term “La Nada,” most people will raise their eyebrows, cock their head, and ask you to repeat yourself. “La Nada” is the term affectionately given […]
El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) – For Dummies
Tuesday, September 11, 2012 9:17 P.M. It’s El Niño–Southern Oscillation… …For Dummies! Let me first start out by saying no copyright infringement is intended. I know that doesn’t change anything, but it makes people less likely to sue you for “stealing intellectual property.” Nobody likes a thief, but people are generally kinder to thieves with good […]
El Nino/La Nina Update
Tuesday, April 3, 2012 1:06 P.M. This has to be a super speedy post, cause I have a chem lab orientation I have to be at by 1:30 and it takes around 10 minutes to walk over there. But hopefully I can get some stuff down before then. I might as well give you guys […]
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Latest on Seasonal Forecast
Wednesday, October 12, 2011 11:59 A.M. Taken from “The International Research Institute for Climate and Society” (IRI) These models all show the forecast SST for the Nino 3.4 region every month, and you can clearly see that most of the models predict cooler than normal temperatures in Nino 3.4. Cooler SST temperatures in the Eastern […]
La Nina Update
Monday, October 3, 2011 12:28 P.M. I saw an article the La Nina episode we are currently seeing in the Seattle times today, so I thought I’d just give an update on the current La Nina situation. The La Nina has strengthened slightly, and although it won’t become as strong as last year’s, all indications […]
Double-Dip La Nina!
Thursday, September 15, 2011 10:08 A.M. Sea Surface Temperatures at different points in the Equatorial Pacific on week centered around 9/7/11 The above picture is from NOAA’s CPC (Climate Prediction Center). As you can see, there has been a clear trend as of late for a cooling of the SST (Sea Surface Temperatures) in the […]
Tranquil Weather
Wednesday, February 2, 2011 6:24 P.M. While the eastern half of the country is getting clobbered this winter, we have actually had a pretty tranquil and quiet winter, especially for a La Nina year. Sure, we’ve had some close calls (models were calling for 3 feet of snow in Seattle a couple weeks ago) but […]