October 19, 2010 5:24 P.M. Well, the models have been all over the place over the past few runs with what they are showing, and I know exactly why. First, the jet stream is very strong, and although models are good at picking up this pattern, they have a hard time pinning down what storms […]
Pacific Storm Train Update
October 18, 2010 4:04 P.M. So, that strong surface low that looked like it was going to plow right into Western Washington has gone away, but the models are still showing an active pattern with a lot of rain possible. Here are some shots from this morning’s MM5-GFS run (12 UTC cycle). You can see […]
Some more recent storms
Tuesday, September 14, 2010 3:21 P.M. After the Columbus Day Storm, we would be without a major storm for some time. But we had a major windstorm on November 13, 1981. This storm was actually similar to the Columbus Day Storm in depth and track, but its track took it a little further offshore, preventing […]
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How our strongest storms form
September 10, 2010 3:31 P.M. Hey everybody. I’ll pick up the tab on where we left off on yesterday. I must emphasize that the contents of this blog are not my own ideas, sure I’m not copying and pasting (except for quotes), but I’m really relying on a variety of sources including books by Glenn […]
Historical Windstorms of the Pacific Northwest
September 9, 2010 5:01 P.M. While the weather is still pretty boring, I thought it would be a good idea to go over some different topics that are still related to weather, even if they aren’t my own forecasts for the upcoming days. I’ll cover a couple notable storms each day, going in chronological order. […]
Storm on the Way
Thursday, April 1, 2010 4:05 P.M. Hey everybody. The storm is on it’s way. We have a lot to look at. The four frames above show the development of the low pressure system according to the NAM model in three hour frames from 2 A.M. Friday to 11 A.M. Friday. First, though, let’s look at […]
Weak storm coming
Thursday, April 1, 2010 12:05 A.M. So there’s a weak storm coming in later today. Not much to talk about. APRIL FOOLS!!! The strongest storm of the year looks to come in later today and especially on Friday. So strong in fact, that I’ve cancelled my prospective visit to UBC to check it out. Models […]
Benign Weather Week Ahead
November 24, 2009 4:37 P.M Hey guys. Sorry for not making an update earlier… I had tons of homework and was studying for multiple large tests. Although I still have to do some stuff tonight, it is looking like a less strenous day tomorrow which means I’m not currently swamped at the moment. I am […]
So… What Happened?
November 22, 2009 10:59 A.M. Good morning everybody. Many of you guys weren’t up late at night like me, but if you were, I’m sure you’d be asking the same question… “where is the wind?” Well, the surface low, instead of taking a track towards the central Washington coast like the models showed, took a […]
Update on Surface Low
November 21, 2009 10:07 P.M. Hey everybody. I just got back from eating some delicious Indian food so I thought I’d make an update on the forecast as far as winds are concerned for tonight. Here is the water vapor imagery for . This satellite shot shows the amount of water vapor in the atmosphere. […]