Tuesday Snow Update

Quick forecast update. The storm tracked slightly further north than modeled, meaning that mild southerlies (and rain) extended to the King/Snohomish County line instead of staying south of Seattle. The Everett area saw 1-3 inches overnight, depending on elevation, and totals increased northward from there. Whatcom County got clobbered, with reports of over a foot […]

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Arctic Outbreak and Lowland Snow Expected This Week For Western Washington

I’ve always said that there are far more snow days forecast for the Pacific Northwest than appear in reality. There are a few reasons for this. The first is that there are multiple weather models, running multiple times a day, that show nearly every possible weather solution under the sun over the course of the […]

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A Review of the December 2021 Arctic Blast and January 2022 Snow/Flooding

On Friday, Seattle was cut off from the north, the south, and the east due to flooding from the Chehalis River inundating I-5, extreme amounts of snow in the Washington passes, and all roads out of Vancouver BC being closed due to heavy snowfall. None of these individual events are unprecedented – the Chehalis spilled […]

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Major Arctic Outbreak On Tap For Next Week

As a forecaster, it’s always a little nerve-wracking when models are consistently showing a high-impact event. In fact, in some ways, it’s more nerve-wracking than if the models were showing a variety of different outcomes. Higher model agreement gives us higher confidence in our forecasts, meaning that when that time inevitably comes that our forecasts […]

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