Monday, January 9, 2012 11:51 P.M. Saturday… Most snow looks to fall west of here Guess I’d better grab a beer, and hope To bring snow east On Saturday Suddenly Euro worse than what it used to be GFS sucks, and it bothers me Snow some we’ll see But not for me Saturday is actually […]
The “Frankenstorm” of 2012
Friday, October 26, 2012 2:51 P.M. Hi everybody. I just finished a hectic week. Two midterms. A ton of homework. I even finished an entire package of Omega-Three gummy bears from Costco. Maybe it’s a stress thing. But honestly, the thing that made this week the most hectic, was this. This, my friends, is a […]
LAWES 2.1
Wednesday, January 11, 2012 11:14 A.M. I don’t have too much time here, but I thought I’d give you an update on the forecast for this weekend and beyond. It seems as though most forecasters are much more conservative as far as snow goes. In fact, here’s what the KOMO forecast had to say this […]
Inconsistencies in the Models
Monday, January 9, 2011 11:06 A.M. As I sit in the Ocean Sciences building waiting for my “Climatic Extremes” class, I can’t help but wish for more exciting weather around here. Thankfully, some of the models are giving me some hope that we could see change, but other models give us weather that is even […]
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Pattern Change?
Wednesday, December 7, 20111:05 P.M. The weather around here for the past ten days has been incredibly boring. I’d venture to say it has been even more boring than hundreds of left turns on the Nascar track. Sorry Nascar fans. But there is some good news! The models have been moving toward a pattern change […]
A Difficult Forecast
Monday, November 6, 2011 12:55 P.M. Forecasting is generally a low-stress profession, but there are times when you know everybody is watching your every keystroke, and this is one of those times. The models look a little bit warmer today, but not much. I seriously doubt that we will see lowland snow with this […]
Seattle Snow?
Sunday, November 6, 2011 7:13 P.M. Seattle, November 22, 2010 Now, I don’t want people to get too excited, but take a look at what the NWS said at the end of their forecast discussion this afternoon. LONG TERM… CONFIDENCE IN THIS PERIOD REMAINED SOMEWHAT LOW DUE TO DIFFERENCES IN THE MEDIUM RANGE MODELS. IT […]
Mountain Snowfall Forecast Gaining More Credibility
Friday, October 7, 2011 11:15 A.M. Looking at the WRF-GFS models from the UW this morning, I have some good news for winter sports and water supply enthusiasts everywhere! The forecast for significant snowfall in the mountains is gaining more credibility. It isn’t a slam dunk, but it definitely is looking more likely after the […]
Storm Details Uncertain
October 20, 2010 4:34 P.M. The details on the storms this weekend are still very, very murky. The American models, the GFS and the NAM, have been forecasting a large low pressure system to bottom out in the Gulf of Alaska at around 950 millibars, sending a strong front right into our area. This is […]
Guess who’s back, back again
Thursday, September 23, 2010 8:29 P.M. Yup, you guessed it, the rain is BACK in the forecast. We had different scenarios being forecasted by two different models. The American GFS model was forecasting dry and warm, with rain going right to the north of us, while the European ECMWF was forecasting rain. Naturally, we believed […]
