Monday, January 9, 2011 11:06 A.M. As I sit in the Ocean Sciences building waiting for my “Climatic Extremes” class, I can’t help but wish for more exciting weather around here. Thankfully, some of the models are giving me some hope that we could see change, but other models give us weather that is even […]
Seattle Snow?
Sunday, November 6, 2011 7:13 P.M. Seattle, November 22, 2010 Now, I don’t want people to get too excited, but take a look at what the NWS said at the end of their forecast discussion this afternoon. LONG TERM… CONFIDENCE IN THIS PERIOD REMAINED SOMEWHAT LOW DUE TO DIFFERENCES IN THE MEDIUM RANGE MODELS. IT […]
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The GFS Superensemble!
Thursday, October 13, 2011 1:17 P.M. When there is a period of pleasant but boring weather like there is right now, I generally look at the GFS Superensemble model for insight into the future. It has the designation of being a “Superensemble” not because it is the most accurate model (it isn’t) but because it […]
University of Washington Models, and Stormy Early Next Week?
Friday, September 30, 2011 6:06 P.M. Now that I am an official UW student, I figure I might as well advertise the super-ultra-awesome mesoscale modes at the University of Washington Department of Atmospheric Sciences Website. There are two main models that the University of Washington runs. These are the NAM (North American Mesoscale) and GFS […]
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Snow chances today and tomorrow
Sunday, November 21, 2010 12:28 P.M. Hey guys. Some of you saw some snow flurries this morning. Some of you did not. It depends on where you live and your elevation. I say some flurries but no accumulation. It was pretty though. Let’s discuss snow probabilities. I read Cliff Mass’ blog the other night and […]
Storm Details Uncertain
October 20, 2010 4:34 P.M. The details on the storms this weekend are still very, very murky. The American models, the GFS and the NAM, have been forecasting a large low pressure system to bottom out in the Gulf of Alaska at around 950 millibars, sending a strong front right into our area. This is […]
Guess who’s back, back again
Thursday, September 23, 2010 8:29 P.M. Yup, you guessed it, the rain is BACK in the forecast. We had different scenarios being forecasted by two different models. The American GFS model was forecasting dry and warm, with rain going right to the north of us, while the European ECMWF was forecasting rain. Naturally, we believed […]
Weak storm coming
Thursday, April 1, 2010 12:05 A.M. So there’s a weak storm coming in later today. Not much to talk about. APRIL FOOLS!!! The strongest storm of the year looks to come in later today and especially on Friday. So strong in fact, that I’ve cancelled my prospective visit to UBC to check it out. Models […]
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Not much to talk about
Thursday, December 17, 2009 9:45 P.M. Greetings everybody, and I hope you had a good Thursday. I’m just going to make this brief because the forecast is looking essentially the same as yesterday and there isn’t really much to talk about. The only thing of real interest is that the GFS now shows temps a […]