Wednesday, October 12, 2011 11:59 A.M. Taken from “The International Research Institute for Climate and Society” (IRI) These models all show the forecast SST for the Nino 3.4 region every month, and you can clearly see that most of the models predict cooler than normal temperatures in Nino 3.4. Cooler SST temperatures in the Eastern […]
La Nina Update
Monday, October 3, 2011 12:28 P.M. I saw an article the La Nina episode we are currently seeing in the Seattle times today, so I thought I’d just give an update on the current La Nina situation. The La Nina has strengthened slightly, and although it won’t become as strong as last year’s, all indications […]
Double-Dip La Nina!
Thursday, September 15, 2011 10:08 A.M. Sea Surface Temperatures at different points in the Equatorial Pacific on week centered around 9/7/11 The above picture is from NOAA’s CPC (Climate Prediction Center). As you can see, there has been a clear trend as of late for a cooling of the SST (Sea Surface Temperatures) in the […]
Tranquil Weather
Wednesday, February 2, 2011 6:24 P.M. While the eastern half of the country is getting clobbered this winter, we have actually had a pretty tranquil and quiet winter, especially for a La Nina year. Sure, we’ve had some close calls (models were calling for 3 feet of snow in Seattle a couple weeks ago) but […]
What is El Nino Southern Oscillation? (ENSO)
El Nino and La Nina are both part of the El Nino Southern Oscilliation (ENSO) pattern in the eastern tropical Pacific ocean. This oscillation, or switching, refers to the temperature of the water in that region. In a La Nina phase, the water temperatures are cooler than normal, and in an El Nino phase, the […]
This Winter Could Be Devastating
Monday, October 4, 2010 11:10 P.M. Hey everbody. I’m not sure how many of you have heard, but this winter has the possibility of being an extremely snowy one, both for the lowlands and the mountains, but especially for the mountains. Why? Because we have an EXTRAORDINARILY intense La Nina event brewing near the equator. […]
The Art of Inconsistency
September 8, 2010 2:30 P.M. Have you ever looked at one eather forecast one day, seen it as forecasting rain, then seeing the forecast switch to sun, only to have it switch back to rain? That is what is happening in the models right now, and it is very, very hard to make accurate forecasts […]
More on the Misconceptions of Global Warming
More on the Misconceptions of Global Warming Friday, February 5, 2010 10:53 P.M. There’s really not much to talk about as far as weather goes. More of the same boring stuff. There is only ONE reason I like El Nino. That reason is that it often results in good tuna fishing off of our coast […]
Why are we drier and warmer than normal during El Nino years?
Tuesday, January 5, 2010 5:50 P.M. I said in yesterday’s post that El Nino brings warmer and drier than normal weather to the Pacific Northwest. But I realized that I did not explain why. You see, what El Nino does is amplify the jet stream. You would think that this would give us more rain, […]
