La Nina Looking Likely For This Winter

When I was younger, my parents would get me the “Old Farmers Almanac” every year for Christmas. In a time before I knew about dynamical climate models and ensemble-based, bias-corrected seasonal forecasting, the Old Farmer’s Almanac seasonal forecasts were a godsend. Part of the allure of the Almanac for an upstart weather zealot like myself […]

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Seattle’s Rainiest Winter Ever

Monday, March 7, 2016 1:43 pm The Snohomish River topping its banks on December 9, 2015. Credit: Brie Hawkins I’ll be the first to admit that weather forecasters are often wrong. After all, weather forecasting is the only job where you can be wrong 90 percent of the time and keep your job. Still, this winter has […]

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