Saturday, December 21, 2013 11:32 a.m. It wasn’t that good. Simon Cowell is giving me the thumbs down: http://tinyviolets.wordpress.com/category/music/ What? I think my elitist response yesterday was an insecure attempt to retain my position as Seattle’s best snow forecaster. For this snow event, that wasn’t true. I was calling for what the models were showing… 2-6 […]
Oh Heck Yeah!
Thursday, December 19, 2013 8:32 p.m. OK, so when I saw the latest model run, I absolutely jumped for joy. Why? Because the newest WRF-GFS model run upped the forecast snow amounts. At first, this model gave us a lot of snow, but then it sharply pulled back. Now, it’s trending whiter again. Let’s take a […]
Snow Update
Wednesday, December 18, 2013 11:26 a.m. I was pretty happy when I saw the UW’s WRF-GFS model this morning. http://replygif.net/941 I wasn’t quite stunned. If that was the case, this would be my reaction. http://www.reddit.com/r/pictureswithspongebob But hey, I’ll take what I can get. This run was an improvement over yesterday’s runs. I’m still a little […]
Snow on Friday and Another LAWES Scale Revision
Tuesday, December 12, 2013 11:13 a.m. I’m back! Sorry it’s been so long. The end of the quarter was quite stressful. Heck, I had a seizure on the night of my final. That sure threw a wrench in my studying/sleeping plans. But, I survived, and that’s what really matters. Food. Water. Shelter. Survival. And when […]
Models Pessimistic, Charlie Optimistic
Tuesday, January 17, 2012 10:05 P.M. So, the latest model runs have come in, and they are moving the storm even further south. For snow lovers who live in Seattle, this is bad news. However, I’ve been watching the radar, and I believe that we will see more snow than is currently forecast by the […]
Small Changes, Big Effects
Tuesday, January 17, 2012 11:39 A.M. Valid 04:00 pm PST Wed, 18 Jan 2012 – 36hr Fcst – UW 4km 12z WRF-GFS 24-hour snowfall As I was looking over the models and the spread in forecasts being made by different people and organizations, I was thinking about some changes that should be implemented in UWs […]
The Spiel on Snow After the Spiel on Snow
Sunday, January 15, 2012 9:47 P.M. I gave a schpeal on snow this morning, and now it’s time I give another one. Many places around Seattle saw significant accumulations today while other places saw very little snow. My brother reports that my house down by Lake Washington between the floating bridges got 4 inches today, but […]
Charlie Phillips’ LAWES (Likelihood of an Arctic Weather Episode with Snow) scale
November 11, 2010 9:09 P.M. Making an acronym that sounds like an actual word (aka: not MOFACASOSWWWW – Major Outbreak of Frigrid Air, Copious Amounts of Snow or Other Severe Winter Weather in Western Washington) actually took me a really long time. And I’m sorry I haven’t been updating this, the weather has been boring and […]
